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TOPIC: Spoiler alert - it’s a lot of pitching."

Spoiler alert - it’s a lot of pitching." 1 month, 1 week ago #572

WhiteFanposts Fanshots Sections Farmers onlyFeaturesPlayoffsHistory/Hall of FamePeer into the FutureCincinnati Reds RumorsThe most likely players to be called up by the Cincinnati Reds in SeptemberNew Christian Arroyo Jersey ,21commentsSpoiler alert - it’s a lot of pitching.ByWick Terrell@wickterrellAug 21, 2018, 12:09pm EDTShareTweetShareShareThe most likely players to be called up by the Cincinnati Reds in SeptemberJonathan Dyer-USA TODAY SportsThe Cincinnati Reds have already dealt with their fair share of roster turnover in recent weeks. Alex Blandino’s torn ACL seemed to begin the shuffle, as he was shelved officially for the rest of the season after wrecking his knee on July 20th. Since that time, the Reds have also lost both Jesse Winker and Scott Schebler to shoulder injuries - the former for the rest of the season, the latter out for over a month but expected back this week - while also optioning Tyler Mahle to AAA Louisville and shipping out Adam Duvall to the Atlanta Braves via trade.Then, the Reds placed Joey Votto on the 10-day DL with knee soreness last week, and the roster at the moment looks like only a shell of what it was during the feel-good weeks leading up to the All Star break. Now, the 2018 season has inched its way to within sniffing distance of rosters expanding in September, and there’s a good likelihood that the Reds will again see a large bit of roster shuffling - though at least this time around it will hopefully just be an influx instead of both addition and subtraction.Here’s a look at some of the most likely names that we’ll see be called up to the big league roster in the coming weeks.Tyler Mahle, RHP (23) - 3.18 ERA, 17.0 IP w/ AAA LouisvilleMahle, of course, has already logged 109 IP with the Reds this year, and was chugging along quite nicely as a dependable cog in the rotation until unraveling in a trio of outings in July and being sent back to AAA. What he flashed earlier in the year, though, suggests that he’s not only firmly in the mix for a September callup, but for being a go-to member of the big league rotation for years going forward.The starting options are already clogged on the big league roster, of course, but Mahle’s absolutely going to be back in the Reds dugout in September with a chance to pitch again before season’s end.Lucas Sims, RHP (24) - 3.31 ERA, 16.1 IP w/ AAA LouisvilleSims, the 1st round pick of the Atlanta Braves back in 2012, was certainly the centerpiece of the recent Duvall swap. Since coming to the Reds organization, he’s logged a trio of starts, posting an impressive 19/3 K/BB in 16.1 IP Nathan Eovaldi Jersey , flashing the kind of starting rotation potential that had him once a consensus Top 100 overall prospect a few years back.The Cincinnati rotation is already a complete logjam, with a current six man rotation, free agent to-be Matt Harvey still around, Cody Reed already up and in the bullpen, and Mahle likely due a recall, too, so how they sort out innings in September might be rather complicated. Still, I’d wager Sims gets a taste of the bigs as a Red, even if it’s in a relief role for now - he does have 10 career appearances as a reliever in the big leagues under his belt already over the last two years.Matt Wisler, RHP (25) - 1.23 ERA, 14.2 IP w/ AAA LouisvilleWisler, along with Sims and Preston Tucker, was the other piece of the Duvall trade, and he comes with a bit more experience at the big league level than Sims. In fact, he’s set to be arbitration eligible after this year, and will also be out of options beyond 2018, meaning the Reds pretty much will have September games to gauge how much they’re willing to committ to the former top prospect going forward. I’d wager they’re going to do just that, and likely in a relief role despite Wisler having starting experience and having started for AAA Louisville once since swapping clubs.He’s struck out 17 against just 2 walks in his short stint with the Bats, which is the kind of control and upside the Reds are always desperately searching for with their relievers, and I’d be shocked if he’s not given a shot to prove it next month. course, there are quite a few others who will both be under consideration and likely get recalled, depending upon what, if any, moves are made between now and the end of the August waiver-trade window. Each of Austin Brice, Tanner Rainey, and Keury Mella have been on the shuttle back and forth between Louisville and Cincinnati this year http://www.raysfanproshop.com/authentic-evan-longoria-jersey , and have very good odds of being brought back up for a few larger September paychecks, even if their opportunities to get innings won’t exactly be obvious. The same can be said of Jackson Stephens, too, who is pitching again for Louisville after having a meniscus tear in his knee put a pause on his season.Beyond those four, each of Zack Weiss and Jesus Reyes have made their big league debuts with the Reds this year, and each still holds a 40-man roster spot. However, given how crowded the team’s pitching options look to be, I’d be less inclined to expect to see them - with a similar story for Jose Lopez, though he’s not yet had his big league debut.The wild card on the pitching end would surely seem to be Brandon Finnegan, who has pitched rather horrendously as both a starter and as a reliever since being optioned back to AAA after his early season struggles with the Reds. It would surely make for an odd situation to see a player with as much big league experience as Finnegan not receive an invite back up, but given how poorly he has pitched this year it’s certainly a legitimate consideration to not.Beyond those pitching options, there are a pair of position prospects on the 40-man roster who figure to be prominent names in coming years, but who likely won’t have their service clocks started in the next month. Both Jose Siri and Shed Long rank among the more interesting and highly touted prospects in the Reds system, but since both are still at AA Pensacola - and since the Blue Wahoos are destined for the Southern League playoffs this September - I’d be shocked if either was anywhere other than in the middle of the order in Pensacola for the remainder of their 2018 seasons. (While there’s always an outside chance that you see the club make a roster move to bring up a player not already on the 40-man roster, I doubt we’ll see that in Cincinnati’s future this year. Jimmy Herget is the most likely player to be in that situation, as he’ll need to be added to the 40-man this winter to protect him from Rule 5 Draft exposure, but I’d wager we’ll see the Reds wait to do that until after the season.) 2017 first rounder DL Hall is starting the season off at Frederick. Not many other top Orioles prospects will be there."The Orioles are unexpectedly and awesomely above the .500 mark through their first five games of the season. This fun fact has not yet changed the likely impression that the 2019 season will not be one where winning at the MLB level is the big priority. It’s about developing the prospects who will matter in two or three years.The group of prospects beginning the season with the High-A Frederick Keys are still the ones Dan Duquette brought into the system. He drafted or traded for the entire Orioles top 30 prospects list except for the two Rule 5 picks made by Mike Elias this past winter: Richie Martin and Drew Jackson. The task for the Elias analytics team is to get the most out of who’s been left for them.It’d be nice to say, for the chances of the Orioles being good in 2021 or 2022, that the team is loaded with prospects at Frederick. Unfortunately, this is not the case. Only two of the team’s top 30 prospects are on the break camp roster of the Keys. That includes a whopping zero position players. The next generation of good Orioles are out there somewhere. It doesn’t seem like they’ll be in western Maryland in April, though.By the end of the year, this may be a different story, if players who are beginning a level lower at Delmarva earn midseason promotions. Check back to read about them later in the week.Frederick’s manager will again be former Oriole Ryan Minor this season.Orioles top 30 prospects on Frederick’s rosterLHP DL Hall (3 in O’s system, 88 on MLB-wide top 100)RHP Brenan Hanifee (11)That’s it. It’s not great.Hall is the best-regarded pitching prospect in the Orioles system. Some analysts, including ESPN’s Keith Law, believe that Hall is the best prospect in the whole system. Law rates Hall 63rd on his top 100 prospects list Matt Andriese Jersey , seeing “a good athlete who should develop more consistency to his delivery with repetition,” with the capability to have a good curveball and changeup, but risk that these things need to be taught. The 2018 season, his first full one in pro ball, was good to Hall. He held South Atlantic League batters to a .203 average in 94.1 innings, posting a 2.10 ERA with 100 strikeouts and 45 walks. One of the rules of prospecting is “you can’t scout the box score” - and the walk total is a bit high besides - but it’s nice.So, hopefully Elias’s people are better at getting the best out of their pitching prospects than Duquette’s people were. Minor was one of Duquette’s people, but by keeping him on board, now he’s one of Elias’s people. Pitching coach Justin Lord, getting bumped up from Delmarva to Frederick, is in the same boat, as is hitting coach Bobby Rose, also jumping up from Delmarva.Hanifee is among my favorite prospects in the system if only because the Virginia native comes from a family of Orioles fans. His dad said he had an O’s tattoo long before his son was drafted by the team.As for Hanifee’s 2018 performance, the fourth round pick from 2016 had a solid 2.86 ERA across 132 innings, but again, don’t scout the box scores. It doesn’t help his chances to be a big leaguer if he can only get out A-ball hitters regularly. With 85 strikeouts, he may start to fall to “can’t miss bats” criticism. If you can’t strike out guys in Low-A, MLB batters will hurt you more. But he also limited his walks to just 22, which is a good sign for his command.If Hanifee passes the High-A test, he will look like a more interesting prospect in a year’s time.Guys starting in extended spring trainingIF Jean Carmona (24)C Brett Cumberland (26)LHP Alex Wells (27)RHP Michael Baumann (28)I mention these players here because there’s not much else going on with Frederick and there was a lot more to say about Norfolk, Bowie, and soon Delmarva. Carmona, part of the Jonathan Schoop trade return last July, is only 19 and probably ticketed for short-season Aberdeen when their season kicks off in June.For the others, it’s a bit of a surprise that they haven’t been assigned to any affiliate to begin the season. None were battling injuries in spring training that I know of, unlike fellow extended spring travelers Austin Hays C. J. Cron Jersey , Dean Kremer, and Cody Carroll, discussed here along with the Norfolk-bound prospects.Cumberland, who turns 24 in June, was part of the underwhelming Kevin Gausman trade return. He combined to bat .224/.350/.391 across two levels in two organizations last year, which isn’t overwhelming but at least strikes me as worthy of saying, “Eh, let’s throw this guy on the Bowie roster and see what happens.” Instead... extended spring training. Maybe they want him to work on his defense before throwing him into real games on a Bowie team that has three interesting rotation pitchers.The 22-year-old Wells brings with him the fun personal details that he is a twin (brother Lachlan was signed by the Twins) and that he is Australian. From a pitching standpoint, he has the fun detail of walking just 10 batters in 140 innings for Delmarva in 2017. That didn’t play quite as well at Frederick last year, as his walk rate increased to 33 walks in 135 innings. Still low, but not amazingly low.A crafty lefty must be that much more crafty to stay afloat at each level. Wells didn’t dominate Frederick as he did Delmarva the year before. Again, though, he was capable enough that I’m surprised he’s not part of Bowie’s season-opening rotation. I’m sure the Orioles have a reason for this and I just don’t know what it is.Baumann, the Orioles 2017 third round pick, is like Wells in that I am surprised he’s not assigned anywhere. The 23-year-old spent most of last season with Frederick, posting a combined 3.17 ERA with 106 strikeouts in 130.2 innings. However, in his outings at the higher Frederick level, he struck out just 59 batters in 90.2 innings. If they had him repeating Frederick, I would understand. If he was up at Bowie, I would understand. Extended spring? With the information I have available, I don’t understand.**With apologies to anyone whose job it is to try to sell tickets to Frederick Keys games, if you want to find the future of the Orioles this summer, Keys games probably aren’t the best place to look. Hopefully Hall and Hanifee mesh well with the new player development regime and earn their way up to Bowie either later this summer or for next year.
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